According to UKHSA authorities, updating the R rate or models that forecast mortality and hospitalisation rates is “no longer essential.”
It is “no longer essential,” according to UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) officials, to provide updates on the R rate or on models that predict mortality and hospitalisation rates.
The Covid investigation, headed by Baroness Hallett, will likely touch on modelling and its involvement in government decisions, including the implementation of lockdowns and other limitations, when it begins in February.
The next release of the UKHSA Epidemiology Modelling Review Group’s consensus statement on Covid-19 on January 6 “will be the final,” the EMRG said.
The Office for National Statistics infection survey will still provide access to Covid-19 incidence statistics, according to that statement.
The EMRG’s chairman, Dr Watkins, stated: “During the pandemic, the R value and growth rate served as a useful and simple indicator to inform public health action and Government decisions.
“Now that vaccines and therapeutics have allowed us to move to a phase where we are living with Covid-19, with surveillance scaled down but still closely monitored through a number of different indicators, the publication of this specific data is no longer necessary.
“We continue to monitor Covid-19 activity in a similar way to how we monitor a number of other common illnesses and diseases.
“All data publications are kept under constant review and this modelling data can be reintroduced promptly if needed, for example, if a new variant of concern was to be identified.”